Service Plays Saturday 5/15/10

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

New Addition to Service Play Forum..Specifically for posting additional topics.

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

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I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Thank you, wilheim.......

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hot Lines: Today's best MLB bets

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees (-130, 9)

The Twinkies are tired of being eaten alive by the Yankees.

Minnesota went 0-10 against New York in 2009, which included a three-game sweep during the ALDS. The Twins brass added veterans like Orlando Hudson and Jim Thome this offseason in order to contend with the Yankees in the postseason.

"You know they are going to be there come October," Denard Span said. "These games in the regular season do mean something. It's just setting the tone for October. We plan on being there, and I know they plan on being there."

Under the tutelage of Ron Gardenhire, the Twins are just 15-60 versus the Yanks and 3-23 in New York.

"Obviously we haven't had success there and we know that we haven't," Justin Morneau said. "It's not something that goes into our head. We know it's a new year and it starts over when we go in there. We're a different team. We have a lot of new guys."

With more than just another regular season win on the line for Minnesota look for the visitors to escape with a win in this afternoon affair. Also, Yankees starting pitcher Andy Pettitte hasn’t pitched in 10 days and could be a bit rusty.

Pick: Twins


Arizona Diamondbacks at Atlanta Braves (-210, 8.5)

After an offensive awakening in Milwaukee, the Braves hitters might be finding their stride.

Going into that three-game set against the Brew Crew, Atlanta had hit .215 with three home runs and 33 runs scored in its previous 13 road games. In the series, the Braves pounded out 28 runs, five home runs and hit .307. All three games went over the posted total.

"I think we're starting to turn the corner," Braves GM Frank Wren said. "I don't think we're where we want to be yet, but I think getting more key guys back in the lineup will give us a better indication of what kind of offense we believe we have."

Atlanta’s offense has been hampered by early injuries to Chipper Jones, Brian McCann and Yunel Escobar. Those three hitters have combined for 27 RBIs this season – one fewer than rookie Jason Heyward.

Heyward was moved to the No. 3 spot in the batting order with Jones out the second two games in Milwaukee. Heyward got on base during seven of his 11 plate appearances in those games and the Braves scored 20 runs. He was moved up to the two-hole Friday.

With guys getting healthy for Bobby Cox’s club and hitters like Troy Glaus and Brooks Conrad contributing, expect Hotlanta’s bats to keep heating up.

Pick: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BASEBALL CRUSHER
PLAY OF THE DAY
LA Angels -135 over the Oakland A's

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Proffesional tipster 35-28-7 (1-1)


France Ligue 1 Lorient – Lille Lille

England FA Cup Chelsea – Portsmouth Chelsea -1.5

Spain Primera Zaragoza – Villarreal Villarreal 0,-0.5

Poland Ekstraklasa Slask Wroclaw - Arka Gdynia Slask Wroclaw +0.5

Poland Ekstraklasa Wisla Krakow - Odra Wodzislaw Wisla Krakow

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RW Sports (24-22-3) (1-0)


english league 1
huddersfield - millwall, huddersfield pk/dnb, 1 unit, 1.76 @ ladbrokes

huddersfield - millwall, over 2.25 goals, 1 unit, 1.88 @ 5dimes

english fa cup
chelsea - portsmouth, chelsea -2, 1 unit, 1.91 @ paddy power

spanish primera
athletic - deportivo, under 3 goals, 1 unit, 1.71 @ pinnacle

almeria - sevilla, under 3 goals, 1 unit, 2.06 @ ladbrokes

spanish segunda
murcia - villareal b, draw, 0.5 units, 3.59 @ 5dimes

huesca - real union, draw, 0.5 units, 3.20 @ EuroBet / coral

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sampicks (6-3) (2-0)

France - Ligue 1 - 20:00 GMT
Lorient - Lille take Lille to win
Best odds: 1,7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Goran's Winners

Werder Bremen - Bayern Munchen (DFB Final in Berlin) Bayern Munchen - 0.50 Asian Hcp
2 Units , Price 1.95 (dont go below 1.88) Pinnacle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NY Players Club

2* Detroit +155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Flyers last night. Today in the Preakness it's Paddy O'Prado ($50 to win).

The deficit is 830 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo plunged deeper into negative numerals last night when the formerly hot Reds cooled off against the Cards to increase the debt to 260 hardys.

Today, Mr. Aitch will stick to his standard policy (whether Elena Kagan likes it or not): Don't Ask Don trelle -- 10 units on Lester and the Bosawx over the Tigers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Blue Jays(RL)
W. Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS ADVISORS

SATURDAY, MAY 15

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (21-14) at Cincinnati (19-16)

The top two teams in the National League Central continue a three-game series at Great American Ballpark, as red-hot Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright (5-1, 2.08) is set to oppose Reds rookie Mike Leake (3-0, 3.10). St. Louis snapped a three-game skid with a 4-3 victory in Friday’s series opener, jumping out to a 4-0 lead and holding on late. The Cardinals remain just 3-7 in their last 10 games (3-4 on the road), and they’re in additional slumps of 2-4 against N.L. Central rivals, 5-9 against winning teams, 1-5 versus right-handed starters, 2-5 on Saturday and 2-6 in the second game of a series
Cincinnati had its five-game winning streak – all against the N.L. Central – halted with Friday’s loss and fell 1½ games behind the Cardinals in the division race. The Reds, who had outscored their opponents 35-6 during their five-game winning streak, have still won five of eight at home, but they’ve lost 23 of their last 32 Saturday contests. This is already the third time these rivals have squared off in a series this season. St. Louis has won five of the seven contests, and going back to last year, the Redbirds are on a 6-2 roll against Cincinnati. Wainwright is coming off his 13th consecutive quality start – at least six innings pitched while allowing three earned runs or fewer – as he held the Pirates to two runs on five hits in six innings on Sunday, rolling to an 11-4 road win. Wainwright has now held seven of eight opponents to two earned runs or less, and going back to the middle of last June, the right-hander has had 26 quality starts in his last 27 trips to the mound, yielding two earned runs or fewer in 24 of those 27 contests. He’s also gone 14 straight starts without walking more than two batters in a game. With Wainwright starting, the Cardinals have won 38 of 54 games overall, 20 of 26 on the road, 24 of 32 against division rivals, 25 of 32 against winning teams and nine of 13 on Saturday. He’s 2-1 with a 2.17 ERA in four road outings this year, including a 6-3 victory in Cincinnati on April (two runs, three hits in seven innings). With that win, he’s now 2-2 with a 4.46 ERA in 10 games (five starts) versus the Reds (1-1, 5.14 ERA in five games and three starts at Great American Ballpark).
Leake is off to a strong rookie season, giving up three earned runs or fewer in five of his first six starts, while pitching at least six innings in every game. On Sunday against the Cubs, he surrendered three runs on four hits in seven innings of a 5-3 home victory, so he’s 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three trips to the mound. Cincinnati is 5-1 in Leake’s six outings this year, including 3-0 at home, where the right-hander is 2-0 with a 3.38 ERA. He has yet to face St. Louis in his brief career. St. Louis is on a slew of “under” streaks, including 23-10-1 overall, 9-2 on the road, 12-4-1 within the division, 5-0-2 on Saturday and 8-2 against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Cincinnati is on “over” runs of 3-0-2 on Saturday and 5-1-2 when facing right-handed starters at home. Finally, the under is 4-0-1 in the last five series meetings, but 10 of the last 14 clashes in Cincinnati have hurdled the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Minnesota (22-13) at N.Y. Yankees (23-11)

Andy Pettitte (4-0, 2.08) is scheduled to return to the mound for the first time in 10 days as he leads the Yankees against Francisco Liriano (4-1, 2.36) and the Twins in the middle game of a three-game series at Yankee Stadium. Alex Rodriguez hit a grand slam to highlight a four-run seventh inning as New York rallied for an 8-4 victory Friday. Prior to last night, the Yankees had lost four of five games to end a road trip, a slump that came on the heels of a six-game winning streak. Still, New York remains on upticks of 99-43 overall, 49-11 at Yankee Stadium (11-2 this year), 38-14 against the A.L. Central, 6-1 on Saturday and 44-10 when facing right-handed starters at home.
Minnesota has still won seven of 11, and it is on further hot streaks of 39-20 overall, 16-5 against left-handed starters and 7-2 on Saturday. However, they’ve now lost 43 of 63 against the A.L. East and 41 of 61 on the road against southpaw starters. The Yankees swept the Twins out of the best-of-5 American League Division Series last October, finishing the year 10-0 against Minnesota, so they’ve now won 11 straight in this lopsided rivalry, which has seen New York win 51 of the last 67 meetings overall and 28 of the last 33 in the Bronx. Liriano is coming off his first loss of the season, falling 7-3 to the Orioles on Saturday as he gave up five runs on 10 hits in six innings. Prior to that, Liriano had surrendered a total of six runs in his first five starts covering 36 innings, and the Twins won all five games. Liriano is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in three road contests.
Minnesota has dropped five of Liriano’s last six starts against the A.L. East. That includes two losses to the Yankees last year (5-4 on the road, 6-4 at home), with the lefty giving up seven runs (four earned) in 11 1/3 innings. Throw in one relief appearance, and Liriano is 0-1 with a 2.77 ERA in 13 innings pitched against New York. Pettitte picked up a 7-5 home win over the Orioles in his most recent start on May 5, but was forced to leave the game after five innings because of elbow discomfort, and he’s been sidelined since. The 37-year-old veteran has held five of his six opponents to two runs or fewer, and the Yankees are undefeated in his last nine trips to the mound (playoffs included) and his last six starts at home. New York is 22-8 in Pettitte’s last 30 starts overall, 84-38 in his last 122 home outings and 22-8 in his last 30 against the A.L. Central. Also, including the playoffs, the Yankees are 6-1 in Pettitte’s last seven starts against the Twins and 5-1 in his last six home outings against Minnesota. For his career, Pettitte is 11-5 with a 3.48 ERA in 21 starts (two playoffs) against Minnesota. The Twins are on “under” runs of 4-1 overall, 20-5-2 against the A.L. East, 6-1 against left-handed starters and 5-2 in Liriano’s last seven starts. Likewise, the Yankees have stayed low in four of five overall, and the under is 16-8-1 in their last 25 home games, 8-4-1 in their last 13 against the A.L. Central (4-0 last four) and 6-2 in Pettitte’s last eight starts against the Central. However, the over has cashed in five of New York’s last six on Saturday and four of Pettitte’s last five home outings. Finally, even though Friday’s contest flew over the posted price, the under is 29-12-4 in the last 45 Twins-Yankees battles in the Bronx, and all three playoff meetings in October stayed under the total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers data
nyy -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

445 - 324 run 58 %
Bonus Play SAT Angels

 

[bigtime3]

Goodfella 5/15 MLB 2*


918 TOR (-138) SportBet vs 917 TEX

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greg Shaker | MLB Money Line Sat, 05/15/10 - 8:35 PM ƒŠ

double-dime bet 916 SDP (+114) BetUS vs 915 LOS
Analysis: MLB: LA Dodgers at San Diego Padres - Padres (Kershaw/Correia) +114 | Unit Value: 2
Game Date: 5/15/2010

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SPORTS WAGERS

TORONTO –1½ +1.35 over Texas

Scott Feldman had a horseshoe up his rear end last season, as every bounce went his way. He was an average pitcher on an average team and ended up winning 17 games. He’ll be lucky to win half that amount this year. He’s had two good outings thus far, one against the South Side and one against the Mariners. In most of his other starts he’s been torched and on the road he’s been eaten up and spit out. In fact, in two road starts covering just 9.1 innings, Feldman has allowed 17 hits and 11 runs for a BAA of .378. Overall, he’s walked 16 batters and struck out just 22 in 37 frames and that ratio is not going to help your cause at all. Meanwhile, the Jays are feeling it and each player is coming to the plate with a ton of confidence. Both Aaron Hill and Adam Lind went yard last night and once these two get going, look out. The Jays are pounding out hits, doubles and long balls and it’s not likely to stop here. Ricky Romero is a quality pitcher that has a BAA of .218 and an ERA of 3.42. He’s only allowed two bombs in 47 frames. Romero has improved both his strikeout and walk rates while maintaining a tremendous 57% GB rate. He’s clearly building something here, as are the Blue Jays. After a tremendous offensive display last night in front of the first decent crowd since opening day, expect the surging Jays to get right back at it again today. Man, are these guys smacking that ball around. Play: Toronto –1½ +1.35 (Risking 2 units).


Minnesota +1.26 over NY YANKEES

This line is definitely inflated only because it’s the Yankees. Based on the starters, there is just no way that Andy Pettitte should be –1.34 chalk over Francisco Liriano. Liriano’s skill set is as close as ever to his pre-Tommy John surgery levels. He’s already gone through a three game stretch in which he did not allow a single earned run in 23 straight innings. He’s 4-1 with a 2.36 ERA and has not allowed a single jack all season. Furthermore, the Twins are 8-2 against southpaws and while Pettitte has tremendous numbers thus far, you know it’s only a matter of time before he throws in a few stinkers. This could be that day, as he missed his last start due to elbow inflammation. Also note that Pettitte’s numbers at the new Yankee Stadium are worse than at any other park in the majors, with the exception of Camden Yards, in which he’s amassed at least 70 innings. The Yanks are dangerous as hell and they can beat anyone anytime but the Twins are no pushovers and certainly they’re undervalued in this one contest. Play: Minnesota +1.26 (Risking 2 units).


Boston –1½ +1.02 over DETROIT

Don’t forget about Jon Lester. He got off to a rough start but is one of the best lefties in the game and one of the best overall, period. He works quickly and efficiently and he throws strikes. Since that rough start, Lester has allowed only three earned runs in his last four starts. Over that span, he also has a nice 30/10 K/BB. This is his first start ever at Comerica Park and it’s very pitcher-friendly to dominant hurlers like Lester. The Red Sox are definitely warming up and can be considered one of the hottest teams in the majors right now. They’ve won four of five and eight of its last 11. They also possess one of the most patient line-ups in the business and they’ll absolutely make you throw strikes. That could be a problem for Dontrelle Willis, as he can never be trusted to throw strikes. It’s also worth noting that 24% of balls hit off Willis have been line-drives and that’s a sure sign of big trouble. Willis also missed his last start because of the flu and frankly, it would be a shock if he succeeded in this outing. Don’t miss this one. Play: Detroit –1½ +1.02 (Risking 2 units).


NY Mets +1.11 over FLORIDA

John Maine gave up 15 earned runs in his first three starts but has only given up six earned runs in his last four. If you remove his April 13 start at Coors Field, his ERA drops from 5.45 to 3.69. He has 34 K’s in 34 frames and is clearly a better pitcher than Nate Robertson. Robertson has made it six innings only twice in his seven starts this year. He is walking too many batters and RH batters are hitting .301 against him this year. Robertson hasn’t really put together anything of consequence since 2006, and is a poor bet here. Jeff Francoeur and David Wright are a combined .385 against southpaws this year and Robertson might be the worst lefty they’ll have faced all season. Mets plus anything here is a bonus. Play: NY Mets +1.11 (Risking 2 units).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DUNKEL MLB

Minnesota at NY Yankees
The Yankees look to follow up yesterday's 8-4 win and build on their 10-1 record in Andy Pettitte's last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. New York is the pick (-140) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140)

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.256; Cubs (Dempster) 13.560
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-240); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+200); N/A

Game 903-904: Houston at San Francisco (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.387; San Francisco (Lincecum) 14.669
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-230); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+190); Over

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Blanton) 16.527; Milwaukee (Narveson) 14.740
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-110); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 14.515; Florida (Robertson) 15.599
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Florida (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-125); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Lopez) 13.975; Atlanta (Hanson) 16.358
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-210); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-210); Over

Game 911-912: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.355; Cincinnati (Leake) 15.376
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+135); Under

Game 913-914: Washington at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Atilano) 15.976; Colorado (Hammel) 15.029
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+140); Over

Game 915-916: LA Dodgers at San Diego (8:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.551; San Diego (Correia) 15.682
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 6
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-120); Under

Game 917-918: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 15.598; Toronto (Romero) 17.028
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under

Game 919-920: Minnesota at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.587; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 16.551
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 921-922: Seattle at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Vargas) 15.585; Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.423
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-220); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+180); Over

Game 923-924: Cleveland at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Talbot) 14.382; Baltimore (Matusz) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-140); Under

Game 925-926: Boston at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.458; Detroit (Willis) 16.323
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+145); Over

Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 15.291; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.986
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-140); Over

Game 929-930: Oakland at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 13.886; LA Angels (Santana) 15.475
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over

Game 931-932: Washington at Colorado (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 16.084; Colorado (Jimenez) 14.959
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz's Daily Free Pick

Under 9 runs bet. the Angels and Oakland

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-May 15th

Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)

Expected Betting Chart:
********************
2/5/8/10 DIMES
********************
Selections:

[902] Chicago |5♦|-210|B+0|WGN|1:05 pm EST

[920] New York |5♦|-134|B+0|Network N/A|1:05 pm EST